I can only hope not. Your analysis is valid all other things being equal, but things are not equal when we're talking about a 40yo passer.
I'd agree you have to keep a watchful eye, because the wheels will come off and when it happens it can be quick and startling. I have a theory on why I'll note in a moment.
Yes, and it was confidence-inspiring. The six picks in five games streak was the opposite.
You lose Gronk it hurts. Against the right match up it can hurt a lot. But he always had games like this, even in his prime. He just didn't have as many that closely grouped. He appears to have recovered.
What do you mean by "it's understandable given?" Are you shortening something like, "It's understandable given the circumstances?" or "It's understandable given what I said earlier?" :idunno: I'm trying to understand you better.
Sorry, I meant given the surrounding circumstances, like Gronk being out for a bit.
Again, given that he's 40 years old, I'm treating every hint of degradation as a potential serious threat.
It'll come, but it doesn't look like it's coming now. The real problem with his age is injury. His arm won't just stop working. Muscle won't just not be there all of the sudden. A lot of the time what happens is a great one is there by virtue of real talent and exceptional work ethic. When the talent degrades there's either room to compensate or there isn't. With Roger Craig, who was a modest talent made great by work ethic (that he helped develop in Rice) once that talent began to erode there wasn't any way for him to compensate and the dive was dramatic and abrupt. Others, like Warren Sap or Charles Barkley, upped their work to compensate for diminishing skills and lengthened their careers.
Brady has done that, which is why he hasn't nose dived. But there's only so much you can do and only so long it can sustain you. He felt the decline in 2012 and 2013 and course corrected with work and approach. That led to a climb back into near prime condition, but this year is a slip back to a couple of years ago. Still great play, but given his work I'd say it's a harbinger of continued decline. Look for next year to look weaker still. I'd say he has one great year beyond this, barring injury, and another really good one. If he's lucky. If he can stay away from the injury bug.