I asked you about the odds on the other thread. Still waiting for an answer
and the proof. Now you want to punt the question to me? :chuckle:
The risk of febrile seizures for the vaccine; it's 1:3000.
At present, there are no statistics on febrile seizures from measles infection (at least as far as I have been able to find), though we do know that Febrile seizure is caused by fever. We can make some valid inferences from this.
"
Onset of measles ranges from 7-14 days (average, 10-12 days) after exposure to the virus. The first sign of measles is usually a high fever (often >104o F [40o C])"
http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/966220-overview
According to the MAYO clinic:
"
Usually the fevers that trigger febrile seizures are caused by a viral infection."
Regarding measles and fever:
"
After an incubation period of 8–12 days, measles begins with increasing fever (to 39°C-40.5°C) and cough, coryza, and conjunctivitis"
Notice the wording here. It is not measles
might cause fever, or measles
could cause fever. Fever is a prodrome of measles; It is characteristic of the disease.
Compare this to the odds of fever in from vaccine
"
...a temperature greater than 37.7 C (1%-6%) have been among the most frequently reported side effects among adults and children receiving vaccine (8-12)"
According to the CDC:
"
Vaccines prevent many febrile seizures.
Getting a child vaccinated as soon as recommended prevents febrile seizures by protecting young children against measles, mumps, rubella, chickenpox, influenza, pneumococcal infections and other diseases that can cause fever and febrile seizures."