Defies Logic

Gary K

New member
Banned
Here's a great article on how the voting has gone since election night when the first pause in voting happened. Scientists have looked at this and say the voting patterns since then "defies logic". In other words it so blatantly fraudulent that it's in the realm of impossibility.

Now, just for you leftist with reading problems this is a long post. It's TLCR, too long cannot read, for you. You don't like facts anyway so just ignore this.

How much anyone want to be that the socialists who actually read this deny science?

A most interesting thread popped up on Twitter Sunday from a data scientist who wishes to remain anonymous, regarding mail-in ballot data which strongly suggests fraud occurred in the wee hours of election night, when several swing states inexplicably stopped reporting vote counts while President Trump maintained a healthy lead over Joe Biden.


wisconsin_0.jpg


Using time series data 'scraped' from the New York Times website, the data - comparing several states (swing and non-swing) - clearly illustrates what fraud does and does not look like, and how several anomalies in swing states left 'fingerprints of fraud' as Biden pulled ahead of President Trump.

Presented below via @APhilosophae:
The following information is provided via an anonymous data scientist and another anonymous individual who wrote a script to scrape the national ballot counting time series data of off the @nytimes website.

— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020


Continued...

This is based on their proprietary "Edison" data source which would ordinarily be impossible to access for people outside the press. The CSV is available here (updated). And the script to generate it is here. I suggest that everyone back up both of these files, bc this is an extremely important data source, and we cant risk anyone taking it down.

What we are looking at will be time series analysis and you will see that it is extremely difficult to create convincing synthetic times series data. By looking at the times series logs of the ballot counting process for the entire country, we can very easily spot fraud.

One of the first things noticed while exploring the dataset is that there seems to be an obvious pattern in the ratio of new #Biden ballots to new #Trump ballots.


EmV0DhjXMAEb8Lu.png


As we can see on this log-log plot, for many of the counting progress updates, we see an almost constant ratio of #Biden to #Trump. It's such a regular pattern that we can actually fit a linear regression model to it with near-perfect accuracy, barring some outliers. How could this be possible? Is this a telltale sign of fraud? Surprisingly, as it will be shown, the answer is no! This is actually expected behavior. Also, we can use this weird pattern in the ballot counting to spot fraud!

Here is the same pattern for Florida. We see this linear pattern again.


EmV1CwGXUAE7FLL.png


And again (Texas)


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And again (South Dakota)


EmV1Tv3WEAINuNY.png


And again all over the country. What appears to be happening is that points on the straight line are actually mail in votes. The reason they're so homogeneous across with respect to the ratio of #Biden vs #Trump votes is that they get randomly shuffled in the mail like a deck of cards. Since the ballots are randomly mixed together during transport, spanning areas occupied by multiple voting demographics, we can expect the ratio of mail-in #Biden ballots to mail-in #Trump ballots will remain relatively constant over time and across different reporting updates.


EmV1bNJWEAEUgVQ.png


Lets dig a little deeper into this:

Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it's the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".


EmV2GtUXMAASR45.png


The initial reporting represents in-person voting. These vote reports have such large variation bc in-person voting happens across different geographic areas that have different political alignments. We can see this same pattern of noisy in-person voting, followed by homogeneous mail-in reporting in almost all cases. What we see in almost all examples across the country is that the ratio of mail-in Dem to Rep ballots is very consistent across time, but with the notable drift from Dem to slightly more Rep.


EmV3MBAW8AEm6rU.png


This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes. These outlying areas take longer to ship their ballots to the polling centers.

Now we're getting into the really good stuff. When we see mail-in ballot counting where there isn't relatively stable ratios of D and R ballots that slightly drift R, we have an anomaly! Anomalies themselves are not necessarily fraud, but they can help us spot fraud more easily.

Now let's look at some anomalies:

This is the Wisconsin vote counting history log. Again, on the Y axis we have the ratio of D to R ballots in reporting batch, and on the X axis we have reporting time. Around 4am there, there is a marked shift in the ratio of D to R mail-in ballots. Based on other posts in this thread, this should not happen. This is an anomaly, and while anomalies are not always fraud, often they may point to fraud.

EmV32k-W8AAC6aO.png
Around 3am Wisconsin time, a fresh batch of 169k new absentee ballots arrived. They were supposed to stop accepting new ballots, but eh, whatever I guess.

— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020


By 4am the D to R ratio was all thrown out of whack. That is because these ballots were not sampled from the real Wisconsin voter population, and they were not randomized in the mail sorting system with the other ballots. They inherently have a different D to R signature than the rest of the ballots quite possibly bc additional ballots were added to the batch, either through backdating or ballot manufacturing or software tampering. This of this being kind of analogous to carbon-14 dating, but for ballot batch authenticity.

Lets look at another anomaly (Pennsylvania):

Here is Pennsylvania's vote counting history. For the first part of the vote counting process, we see the same pattern for mail-in ballots that we've seen in every other state in the country, which is relatively stable D to R ratio that gradually drifts R as more ballots. But then as counting continues, the D to R ratio in mail-in ballots inexplicably begin "increasing". Again, this should not happen, and it is observed almost nowhere else in the country, because all of the ballots are randomly shuffled in the mail system and should be homogeneous during counting. The only exceptions to this are other suspect states that also have anomalies.


EmV5d56XEAUHQeW.png


Again, this is evidence of ballot backdating, manufacturing of software tampering.


Lets look at another anomaly:
In Georgia we see pretty much the same story as Pennsylvania: increasing fractions of mail-in D ballots over time even though it defies logic and we see this pattern no where else in the country.


EmV6X34XEAA20Ze.png


In Michigan, we see a combination of Wisconsin strangeness, together with the GA/PA weirdness. We see both signs of contaminated ballot dumping, and ballot ratios drifting toward dems when they should not be.


EmV6wKcXMAY6dzN.png
Virginia:


EmV7A3LW4AIgqrA.png


Now in fairness, VA is the only state out of the 50 that has anomalies but has not had accusations of voter fraud, yet. I think this is the exception that proves the rule. Yet to figure out what causes this anomalous shift, but here it is so no one accuses me of holding it back.
Lets wrap this up: It appears Dems shot themselves in the foot bc making everyone do mail-in ballots actually makes it easier to catch mail-in ballot fraud. Bc all of the ballots go through the postal system, they get shuffled like a deck of cards, so we expect reported ballot return to be extremely UNIFORM in terms of D vs R ratio, but to drift slightly towards R over time bc some of those ballots travel farther. This pattern proves fraud and is a verifiable timestamp of when each fraudulent action occurred.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/...ng-mail-ballot
 

Hilltrot

Well-known member
Judges have difficulty with math. It's why they entered the law. In a courtroom, you might as well be using Egyptian hieroglyphics - Judges would understand them better than anything having to do with math.

I agree that this election was likely stolen and that the Democrats cheated. I can only hope that Trump can prove it.

He needs better lawyers.
 

eider

Well-known member
Here's a great article on how the voting has gone since election night when the first pause in voting happened. Scientists have looked at this and say the voting patterns since then "defies logic". In other words it so blatantly fraudulent that it's in the realm of impossibility.

Now, just for you leftist with reading problems this is a long post. It's TLCR, too long cannot read, for you. You don't like facts anyway so just ignore this.

How much anyone want to be that the socialists who actually read this deny science?]

The 'scientist' isn't even prepared to be identified.

Get this chump
​​​​​​ in front of a relevant court with evidence of election fraud and leave it for judgement.
 

chair

Well-known member
Looking at the graphs with the suspicious jumps, assuming that the data is real (is it?) it seems like the ballots didn't arrive in a completely random fashion. Which could mean that there was horrible cheating, or that the ballots didn't arrive in a completely random fashion for some other reason. Slower postal service from big cities, for example. Or were the ballots sorted by district before counting? Or...

Let's just say that if the shoe was on the other foot, and Democrats starting complaining about these "fishy statistics", any Republican in their right mind would laugh at them.
 

Arthur Brain

Well-known member
Looking at the graphs with the suspicious jumps, assuming that the data is real (is it?) it seems like the ballots didn't arrive in a completely random fashion. Which could mean that there was horrible cheating, or that the ballots didn't arrive in a completely random fashion for some other reason. Slower postal service from big cities, for example. Or were the ballots sorted by district before counting? Or...

Let's just say that if the shoe was on the other foot, and Democrats starting complaining about these "fishy statistics", any Republican in their right mind would laugh at them.

Pretty much...
 

Arthur Brain

Well-known member
Looking at the graphs with the suspicious jumps, assuming that the data is real (is it?) it seems like the ballots didn't arrive in a completely random fashion. Which could mean that there was horrible cheating, or that the ballots didn't arrive in a completely random fashion for some other reason. Slower postal service from big cities, for example. Or were the ballots sorted by district before counting? Or...

Let's just say that if the shoe was on the other foot, and Democrats starting complaining about these "fishy statistics", any Republican in their right mind would laugh at them.

All Trump has done is stupidly cry victory on election night to the chagrin of many Republicans, ramble on about how his lead was "miraculously" whittled away when the mail ballots were counted, even though this was projected at the time across various news outlets and then made claims of election fraud despite not even supplying a smidgeon of evidence for said claims. Oh, and play a load of golf.

These claims are being summarily dismissed across the board and Philadelphia's mayor had it on the button. About time for Trump to put his big boy pants on and accept that he lost. The same goes for some of his supporters. Unfortunately, what's more likely to happen is that he's going to drag this nonsense on as long as he can to the point where he has no choice but to vacate the presidency which in the meantime disrupts the transition of power, which in turn doesn't do anybody any favours.
 
Last edited:

Gary K

New member
Banned
All Trump has done is stupidly cry victory on election night to the chagrin of many Republicans, ramble on about how his lead was "miraculously" whittled away when the mail ballots were counted, even though this was projected at the time across various news outlets and then made claims of election fraud despite not even supplying a smidgeon of evidence for said claims. Oh, and play a load of golf.

These claims are being summarily dismissed across the board and Philadelphia's mayor had it on the button. About time for Trump to put his big boy pants on and accept that he lost. The same goes for some of his supporters. Unfortunately, what's more likely to happen is that he's going to drag this nonsense on as long as he can to the point where he has no choice but to vacate the presidency which in the meantime disrupts the transition of power, which in turn doesn't do anybody any favours.

The irony of this post is so great it's beyond belief.

For the last four years Hillary has done nothing but blame other people for her loss. And for the last 4 years the Democrats have attacked Trump endlessly. Yet every legal maneuver they have tried has failed. Why? For lack of evidence. The Mueller team was made entirely of people who hated Trump and yet they couldn't dig up any evidence to indict Trump in a 2 year investigation using hundreds of FBI agents. How is that AB? How can Trump's worst enemies fail in that attempt when they had everything in their favor? And the mockingbird media has repeated the lies and accusations endlessly. And yet you still trust them 100% on everything they say about Trump. How is it that false allegations have been printed in the mockingbird media for years and yet you still trust them implicitly while. claiming to honest and in search of truth? If you didn't you wouldn't be making the exact same arguments the media and the democrats are making. All it says to me is that you're unable to learn by experience or you're a paid deep state shill. There are no other possibilities for the amount of stupidity.
 

Arthur Brain

Well-known member
The irony of this post is so great it's beyond belief.

For the last four years Hillary has done nothing but blame other people for her loss. And for the last 4 years the Democrats have attacked Trump endlessly. Yet every legal maneuver they have tried has failed. Why? For lack of evidence. The Mueller team was made entirely of people who hated Trump and yet they couldn't dig up any evidence to indict Trump in a 2 year investigation using hundreds of FBI agents. How is that AB? How can Trump's worst enemies fail in that attempt when they had everything in their favor? And the mockingbird media has repeated the lies and accusations endlessly. And yet you still trust them 100% on everything they say about Trump. How is it that false allegations have been printed in the mockingbird media for years and yet you still trust them implicitly while. claiming to honest and in search of truth? If you didn't you wouldn't be making the exact same arguments the media and the democrats are making. All it says to me is that you're unable to learn by experience or you're a paid deep state shill. There are no other possibilities for the amount of stupidity.

Oh, once Trump has been kicked out of office and that little bubble of presidential immunity has evaporated, you can expect a myriad court cases flying in his direction. FTR, Trump was never exonerated during the Mueller probe so that hasn't magically disappeared like the coronavirus was supposed to do in April either. Remember Trump's own lying words on that score? Remember how he's on record for downplaying the virus despite knowing how serious it was going to escalate? Your rant means nothing. The people spoke and thankfully sanity prevailed. Trump's toast. Either deal with that or just sit in the corner and sulk.
 
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