Trump Makes His Way Back to the Lead in Poll
- Thread starter Catholic Crusader
- Start date
LIBERAL MEDIA TRIES TO DENY TRUMP IS SURGING
Mainstream scrambles to push pro-Clinton narrative
SEPTEMBER 15, 2016 http://www.infowars.com/liberal-media-tries-to-deny-trump-is-surging/
Despite the fact that even rigged poll numbers are now showing Trump beating Hillary, many news outlets are still trying to spin or deny it and are completely ignoring Hillary’s collapsing poll numbers this month.
Just like some nutter, hard right wing internet invention to try to play the victim card while their candidate is "surging". 
I wish we could post these little videos https://twitter.com/Jenn_Abrams/status/777548437273255937
Looks like Trump is surging in the wrong direction...by the day of the first debate he'd closed a once considerable gap, and fivethirtyeight had it 54.8/45.2 in favor of Clinton taking the election, with Trump's numbers increasing and Clinton's on a slide.
Oh what a difference a debate makes.
Today? 63.8/36.2, or a near ten point bump for Hillary and about the same slide for Trump.
Oh what a difference a debate makes.
Today? 63.8/36.2, or a near ten point bump for Hillary and about the same slide for Trump.
Update: 5308
Today? 76.7/23.2 in favor of Clinton as her lead continues to grow.
Electoral vote estimate 9/17 - 10/5
Hillary Clinton 288.8 - 318.8
Donald Trump 219.0 - 248.8
Gary Johnson 0.4 - 0.2
Popular vote
Hillary Clinton 46.5 - 48.2%
Donald Trump 44.3 - 43.5%
Gary Johnson 7.9 - 6.9%
You couldn't wait to post that Trump is trailing :chuckle:
Where are you CC?
I think Trump will get a boost in the polls from Mike Pence's performance
I wouldn't count on much. VPs tend to not hurt you at large and boost you in some key state or region else. Some, like Palin, can work against a ticket. But they won't overcome whatever is in play for the senior part of the ticket. I'm not doing a celebration dance, but absent a remarkable turn around in debate fortunes, I think this is going to look like Romney.
Sean Hannity finally stated that the bimbo known as Megyn Kelly is a liberal and Hillary Supporter.
No kidding. At least he did it. I hope he didn't just realize it.
No kidding. At least he did it. I hope he didn't just realize it.
Trump has a path to 270 !!! Don't count him out yet -
ok doser
lifeguard at the cement pond
Rasmussen, today:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct06
| Thursday, October 06, 2016 Donald Trump has gained another point on Hillary Clinton in the wake of Tuesday night’s vice presidential debate. The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with a 43% to 41% lead over Clinton. Yesterday, he was ahead 42% to 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson again earns eight percent (8%) of the vote, while three percent (3%) prefer the Green Party’s Jill Stein. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Trump has been edging back all week. He was five points ahead of Clinton going into their first debate last week but then fell behind by three after widespread criticism of his debate performance. By this past Monday, however, the two major party candidates were in a near tie, and Trump has gained a point on Clinton each day since then. |
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct06
annabenedetti
like marbles on glass
Rasmussen has been criticized in the past for skewing Republican.
Apart from that, I wonder how accurate any political polling is these days. Online polls are worthless, and phone polls connecting only with landlines aren't demographically diverse enough anymore. I looked at Rasmussen's methodology and to make up for the landlines problem, in addition they used an online survey tool to randomly select from a panel of participants, which seems to me like too much of a convenience sample. And then how do they weight it?
Apart from that, I wonder how accurate any political polling is these days. Online polls are worthless, and phone polls connecting only with landlines aren't demographically diverse enough anymore. I looked at Rasmussen's methodology and to make up for the landlines problem, in addition they used an online survey tool to randomly select from a panel of participants, which seems to me like too much of a convenience sample. And then how do they weight it?
Yeah, but not for the reason some people might think. It's time to draft Hunstman from the floor and discard this guy before another election is gift wrapped for the Democrats.
Now I'm not in love with the Republican party, but if they could manage that they'd get my vote
Meanwhile, in the wake of the latest embarrassment, even more Republicans, including Huntsman, are calling for Trump to step aside.
While in polling news it's time for a post VP debate update.
The last time I posted FiveThirtyEight had it 76.7/23.2 in favor of Clinton.
That lead has increased to 81.8 to 18.2 in favor of Clinton.
Electoral vote estimate 9/17 - 10/5 - 10/8
Hillary Clinton 288.8 - 318.8 - 330.5
Donald Trump 248.8 - 219.0 - 207.3
Gary Johnson 0.4 - 0.2 - 0.1
Popular vote
Hillary Clinton 46.5 - 48.2 - 48.9
Donald Trump 44.3 - 43.5 - 43.2
Gary Johnson 7.9 - 6.9 - 6.6
ok doser
lifeguard at the cement pond
| Friday, October 07, 2016 Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are still running neck-and-neck as they prepare for their second debate on Sunday night. The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters and Trump with 42%. Yesterday, Trump had a two-point lead, 43% to 41%. |
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct07
ok doser
lifeguard at the cement pond
Rather, says the guy who worked to defeat him in his reelection campaign. Now go teach yourself to suck eggs.