This is probably not accurate. If the republicans can't win in this heavily-gerrymandered district, they'll have trouble winning anywhere. National republicans are pouring money into the race, and even Trump has come in a last-ditch effort to reverse the trend. Maybe it will be enough. I think it will, but it's a shock that even in this district where Trump won handily, the republican candidate is in trouble.
Democrat Conor Lamb has pulled ahead of Republican Rick Saccone, according to an Emerson College poll conducted from March 1st through 3rd. Lamb has a slim lead, enjoying an approval rating of 48 percent to Saccone’s 45 percent, in a sign that Pennsylvania’s special election could see a Democrat upset.
Pennsylvania’s 18th District Special Congressional election has “garnered a lot of voting excitement,” the survey notes. 56 percent of those polled say they’re “very excited to vote,” while only 7 percent said they’re “not very excited at all.” Lamb’s positive image in the district appears to be helping matters:
Lamb has a positive image in the district, with 48% saying they have a favorable opinion and a 33% unfavorable rating – 15% of voters had heard of him but had no opinion. Saccone is not as popular with a 44% favorable and a 40% unfavorable rating – 15% of voters had heard of him but had no opinion.
Lamb leads 57% to 40% in Allegheny County, which is expected to account for about 42% of the vote. Saccone leads in Westmoreland County 51% to 42%, a county that comprises about 33% of the vote. Saccone leads in Washington County 46% to 41%, which make up about 22% of the vote.
The possibility that a Democrat could win a seat in a district then-candidate Donald Trump won handily in 2016 is a very real one, and more and more Congressional Republicans have shared fears that Trumpian backlash could affect their chances at maintaining their majority in this year’s midterm elections.
Last month, for example, Linda Howlett Belcher, a Democrat and two-time member of the Kentucky state legislature, bested her Republican challenger 68 percent to 32 percent in a special election. That victory came on the heels of similar ones in Alabama and Virginia that appear to be harbingers of things to come as midterms draw nearer.
https://secondnexus.com/news/poll-conor-lamb-ahead-rick-saccone-pa-special-election/
Democrat Conor Lamb has pulled ahead of Republican Rick Saccone, according to an Emerson College poll conducted from March 1st through 3rd. Lamb has a slim lead, enjoying an approval rating of 48 percent to Saccone’s 45 percent, in a sign that Pennsylvania’s special election could see a Democrat upset.
Pennsylvania’s 18th District Special Congressional election has “garnered a lot of voting excitement,” the survey notes. 56 percent of those polled say they’re “very excited to vote,” while only 7 percent said they’re “not very excited at all.” Lamb’s positive image in the district appears to be helping matters:
Lamb has a positive image in the district, with 48% saying they have a favorable opinion and a 33% unfavorable rating – 15% of voters had heard of him but had no opinion. Saccone is not as popular with a 44% favorable and a 40% unfavorable rating – 15% of voters had heard of him but had no opinion.
Lamb leads 57% to 40% in Allegheny County, which is expected to account for about 42% of the vote. Saccone leads in Westmoreland County 51% to 42%, a county that comprises about 33% of the vote. Saccone leads in Washington County 46% to 41%, which make up about 22% of the vote.
The possibility that a Democrat could win a seat in a district then-candidate Donald Trump won handily in 2016 is a very real one, and more and more Congressional Republicans have shared fears that Trumpian backlash could affect their chances at maintaining their majority in this year’s midterm elections.
Last month, for example, Linda Howlett Belcher, a Democrat and two-time member of the Kentucky state legislature, bested her Republican challenger 68 percent to 32 percent in a special election. That victory came on the heels of similar ones in Alabama and Virginia that appear to be harbingers of things to come as midterms draw nearer.
https://secondnexus.com/news/poll-conor-lamb-ahead-rick-saccone-pa-special-election/
